The latest forecast doesn't have Maria actually making landfall in the US, but the storm will be close enough to impact parts of the east coast.
Tropical storm and storm surge watches were issued Sunday evening (Sept 24.) for parts of North Carolina's coast as Hurricane Maria continues to move north, according to the National Hurricane Center.
As Maria nears the coast Tuesday, our current weather pattern will finally break down. "The shaded area around its path corresponds to about a 60 to 70 percent chance that the location of the storm center remains within that "fan", so there remains a slight chance for landfall over eastern N.C". Jose is a large system, and swells are affecting Bermuda and much of the US east coast.
The hurricane - now a Category 3 storm with 115 miles per hour winds, as of midday Saturday - is tracking north between high pressure over the Atlantic Ocean and low-pressure over the Gulf of Mexico. That might be just enough to put the Outer Banks, possibly even Hampton Roads in Virginia and the Delmarva Peninsula, into some tropical storm-force winds and maybe some squally rain in the Monday-Wednesday period.
It is looking more and more likely that it will NOT impact New England. Please continue to monitor powerful Maria in case these trends change.
The higher pressure could bring warmer weather to the south - where temperatures are expected to be 21C until Wednesday.
The Category 3 storm was centered about 100 miles north of the Dominican Republic Thursday afternoon and moving northwest at 9 mph.
We'll keep an eye on Hurricane Maria throughout the week.
NHC also issued a Storm Surge Watch for the coast of North Carolina from Cape Lookout northward to Duck.
However, Maria's weakening would not prevent parts of the East Coast from feeling some direct impacts.
The hurricane center's intensity forecast shows Maria as a minimal Category 1 hurricane in five days.
Lee is expected to stay far out in the Atlantic through the next five days and not pose a threat to land. Wind shear (faster winds aloft) will overspread the region and the storm will be moving into an area of cooler sea surface temperatures.
I still expect wave heights and rip currents to present risky swimming conditions along the beaches.